When there is no close comp, the fix is usually to widen the search rather than give up on comps altogether.
Steps to work through:
- Expand the radius: look beyond the immediate area to similar parcels within the same general market, then adjust for distance.
- Expand the timeframe: a sale from a year or two ago, adjusted for how the market has moved since, can still be useful when nothing recent exists nearby.
- Adjust for what's different: access, size, topography, and utility availability all move price per acre, so a comp does not need to be identical, it needs to be adjustable.
A key point that trips people up: price per acre is often not linear. Smaller parcels frequently price higher per acre than larger ones in the same area, because buyer demand for smaller, more affordable pieces tends to be broader. That means a five acre comp should not be applied directly to a fifty acre parcel without adjustment, and vice versa. Try to match comps by size range first, then adjust for the other differences.
If comps genuinely remain thin even after widening the search, it can help to look at what similar parcels are currently listed for and how long they've been sitting, since that shows where buyer demand is actually landing rather than where a seller hopes it will land. Combining a few imperfect comps, each adjusted for its differences, usually gets closer to a defensible number than relying on a single distant sale.